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Red81
702833.3
825517.4
784915.1
Blue72
818825.9
767718.8
88789.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755102040601001201401608172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.0
33.033.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End1.1
red by 7.5
8188
#18
25.91.1
22.723.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6
Second
8255
#24
17.40.0
17.317.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End2.7
blue by 1.4
7677
#40
18.81.1
17.718.8
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.8
Third
7849
#17
15.10.1
15.015.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End0.5
red by 5.2
8878
#32
9.81.1
8.89.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed