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Red103
702833.3
604520.1
327636.3
Blue96
453624.9
313029.1
517229.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028940608012014016018010396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.0
36.736.7
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End3.8
red by 6.7
5172
#12
29.60.0
29.229.2
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Second
33.30.0
33.733.7
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End1.1
red by 4.2
29.10.0
28.728.7
Auto12.4
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Third
6045
#30
20.10.0
20.420.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 4.9
4536
#41
24.90.0
24.524.5
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End2.0