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Red114
453931.1
460735.9
546418.6
Blue117
181636.3
87635.6
818825.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911056080100120140160114117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#10
35.90.5
35.435.9
Auto11.0
Teleop21.5
End3.4
blue by 0.4
36.30.5
34.935.4
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Second
31.10.5
30.631.1
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End2.1
blue by 4.5
876
#9
35.60.5
34.234.7
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Third
5464
#26
18.60.5
18.218.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 7.2
8188
#18
25.90.5
24.525.0
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6