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Red101
517229.6
313029.1
453624.9
Blue129
181636.3
87635.6
818825.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89108406080100120140160101129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
29.60.4
29.229.6
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
blue by 6.6
36.30.7
35.436.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Second
29.10.4
28.729.1
Auto12.4
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 6.4
876
#9
35.60.7
34.735.4
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Third
4536
#41
24.90.4
24.524.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End2.0
blue by 0.9
8188
#18
25.90.7
25.025.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6