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Red103
702833.3
604520.1
327636.3
Blue75
329722.4
472833.7
617523.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008740608012014016010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.3
36.036.3
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End3.8
red by 2.6
4728
#21
33.70.1
33.933.8
Auto12.9
Teleop17.9
End2.9
Second
33.30.3
33.033.3
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End1.1
red by 10.1
6175
#43
23.30.1
23.523.3
Auto7.5
Teleop14.6
End1.2
Third
6045
#30
20.10.3
19.720.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 2.4
3297
#11
22.40.1
22.622.5
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.2