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Red61
543423.2
363029.3
392625.2
Blue106
205230.6
301818.5
253029.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8884406010012014016061106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.4
29.729.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End0.6
blue by 1.3
30.60.6
29.930.6
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
Second
25.20.4
25.625.2
Auto11.2
Teleop11.8
End2.2
blue by 4.0
29.20.6
28.629.2
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
5434
#21
23.20.5
23.823.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 4.7
3018
#29
18.50.8
17.718.5
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0