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Red89
543423.2
363029.3
392625.2
Blue98
205230.6
301818.5
253029.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878240601001201401608998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.2
29.529.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End0.6
blue by 1.3
30.60.5
29.429.9
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
Second
25.20.2
25.425.6
Auto11.2
Teleop11.8
End2.2
blue by 4.0
29.20.5
28.128.6
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
5434
#21
23.20.3
23.523.8
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 4.7
3018
#29
18.50.7
17.017.7
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0