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Red34
223915.8
214320.4
217521.8
Blue73
205230.6
301818.5
253029.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6385020401001201401603473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#18
21.80.6
22.421.8
Auto10.2
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 8.8
30.60.0
29.529.4
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
Second
2143
#11
20.40.8
21.220.4
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
blue by 8.9
29.20.0
28.128.1
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
2239
#15
15.80.6
16.415.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End3.3
blue by 2.7
3018
#29
18.50.0
17.117.0
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0