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Red50
361014.1
302614.0
223915.8
Blue22
217710.5
91575.1
591319.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274602060801001201405022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2239
#15
15.81.7
5.06.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End3.3
blue by 3.8
5913
#19
19.61.5
15.614.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Second
3610
#26
14.12.2
10.012.2
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End0.6
red by 3.6
2177
#51
10.51.5
15.013.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Third
3026
#47
14.01.7
11.513.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.9
End1.8
red by 8.9
9157
#61
5.11.9
8.86.8
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed