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Red70
216915.9
220723.3
303812.3
Blue33
250017.9
300713.4
257414.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324901002003004007033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2207
#17
23.34.3
9.714.0
Auto11.2
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 5.4
2500
#12
17.90.8
14.914.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Second
2169
#20
15.93.5
11.515.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 1.0
2574
#42
14.90.9
15.814.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Third
3038
#30
12.34.3
9.914.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.1
blue by 1.1
3007
#45
13.41.0
11.410.4
Auto6.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed