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Red51
301818.5
247029.2
419815.7
Blue57
249129.2
421514.6
247223.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565640506070805157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#10
29.20.2
22.222.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Level
2491
#14
29.20.1
24.724.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Second
3018
#29
18.50.4
10.510.9
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0
blue by 4.7
2472
#16
23.20.1
17.817.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
4198
#48
15.70.3
15.115.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End1.5
red by 1.1
4215
#38
14.60.2
10.811.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed