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Red59
466414.7
466324.6
706822.0
Blue16
25139.7
25116.4
250221.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4437102030405060705916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.8
15.116.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End2.8
red by 3.1
21.51.2
15.914.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
Second
7068
#25
22.02.1
14.516.5
Auto8.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
red by 12.3
2513
#27
9.72.0
8.36.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Third
4664
#31
14.72.2
9.611.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
red by 8.3
2511
#60
6.42.0
9.87.8
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed