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Red30
52716.4
284619.8
304212.0
Blue57
363029.3
388320.6
37519.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326202040801001201403057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.7
12.411.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End2.7
blue by 9.5
29.30.4
24.825.2
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End0.6
Second
3042
#44
12.00.6
11.110.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 8.6
3883
#36
20.60.4
17.618.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Third
5271
#57
6.40.6
8.78.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 2.8
3751
#33
9.20.5
9.910.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed