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Qual 112024 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red49
543423.2
250017.9
466414.7
Blue37
223915.8
52788.7
419815.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330204060801004937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#21
23.21.0
14.3→15.3
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 7.4
2239
#15
15.80.5
6.8→7.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End3.3
Second
2500
#12
17.90.7
14.1→14.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 2.2
4198
#48
15.70.5
15.4→15.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Third
4664
#31
14.71.0
11.8→12.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
red by 6.0
5278
#41
8.70.5
9.2→9.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed