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Red44
599614.2
26067.7
214320.4
Blue32
312210.0
422515.1
420719.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3534203040504432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#11
20.41.3
12.013.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 1.2
4207
#40
19.20.1
11.711.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
Second
5996
#43
14.21.3
10.011.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 0.9
4225
#32
15.10.1
8.68.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
2606
#53
7.71.3
9.911.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 2.3
3122
#49
10.00.1
10.810.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed