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Red60
340711.6
253029.2
24989.9
Blue54
217521.8
701914.8
369110.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340204060801001206054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.3
22.223.5
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
red by 7.5
2175
#18
21.81.9
13.915.8
Auto10.2
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
3407
#34
11.61.6
8.910.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 3.2
7019
#37
14.82.4
9.311.7
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Third
2498
#58
9.91.6
9.511.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
blue by 0.1
3691
#50
10.02.4
9.111.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed