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Red84
220723.3
250221.5
284619.8
Blue21
303812.3
302614.0
91575.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463701001502002503008421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2207
#17
23.34.8
14.018.9
Auto11.2
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 9.3
3026
#47
14.01.1
13.212.1
Auto2.4
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Second
21.52.9
14.717.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
red by 9.2
3038
#30
12.31.5
14.212.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Third
19.83.9
11.715.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End2.7
red by 14.7
9157
#61
5.11.5
6.85.4
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed