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Red31
282329.8
878710.2
217710.5
Blue108
304212.0
392625.2
247223.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5245020608010012031108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.2
24.423.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 4.6
25.22.6
13.215.8
Auto11.2
Teleop11.8
End2.2
Second
2177
#51
10.51.2
13.412.2
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 12.7
2472
#16
23.22.6
17.920.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
8787
#35
10.21.7
8.46.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.3
blue by 1.8
3042
#44
12.02.6
10.413.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed