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Red20
32027.5
52716.4
22256.5
Blue53
345419.4
249129.2
287911.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2056040801001202053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3202
#56
7.50.2
7.16.9
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End0.1
blue by 21.7
2491
#14
29.20.5
24.925.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Second
2225
#54
6.50.2
6.96.7
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 12.9
3454
#22
19.40.7
10.211.0
Auto9.8
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Third
5271
#57
6.40.2
8.07.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 4.6
2879
#39
11.00.7
11.312.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed