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Red30
388320.6
78507.6
310016.0
Blue35
427714.6
300713.4
340711.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563102040801001201401603035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#36
20.61.5
18.116.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7
red by 6.0
4277
#24
14.60.6
9.99.3
Auto7.7
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Second
3100
#28
16.01.6
19.217.6
Auto9.3
Teleop5.3
End1.5
red by 2.6
3007
#45
13.40.6
10.49.7
Auto6.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Third
7850
#52
7.62.0
10.78.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.4
blue by 4.0
3407
#34
11.60.6
10.59.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed