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Red54
300713.4
599614.2
249129.2
Blue27
46326.0
340711.6
82349.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542304060801005427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#14
29.20.6
25.426.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 17.6
3407
#34
11.60.2
9.99.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Second
5996
#43
14.21.0
10.311.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.3
red by 5.0
8234
#59
9.30.2
9.69.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Third
3007
#45
13.41.0
9.710.7
Auto6.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
red by 7.4
4632
#62
6.00.2
5.25.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed