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Red78
257414.9
247029.2
245014.0
Blue18
251810.1
24989.9
302614.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603302040801001207818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#10
29.20.8
22.423.2
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.5
red by 15.2
3026
#47
14.01.3
12.110.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Second
2574
#42
14.91.0
15.116.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End2.0
red by 4.8
2518
#46
10.11.9
9.98.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Third
2450
#23
14.00.9
13.514.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End0.8
red by 4.1
2498
#58
9.91.9
11.29.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed