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Red22
82349.3
303812.3
388320.6
Blue53
247223.2
361014.1
878710.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43410102030506070802253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#36
20.61.1
17.216.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7
blue by 2.6
2472
#16
23.20.7
20.721.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Second
3038
#30
12.31.9
12.210.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.1
blue by 1.8
3610
#26
14.11.2
11.312.5
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End0.6
Third
8234
#59
9.31.9
9.47.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 0.9
8787
#35
10.21.2
5.16.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed