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Red25
24989.9
217710.5
599614.2
Blue37
25116.4
310016.0
284619.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354202060801002537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5996
#43
14.20.8
11.210.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 5.6
19.80.0
14.514.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Second
2177
#51
10.50.5
11.911.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 5.5
3100
#28
16.00.0
17.317.2
Auto9.3
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Third
2498
#58
9.90.8
9.38.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
red by 3.5
2511
#60
6.40.0
5.45.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed