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Red60
250017.9
25139.7
363029.3
Blue36
22256.5
340711.6
420719.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5536020801001201401606036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.9
27.828.6
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End0.6
red by 10.1
4207
#40
19.20.2
16.817.0
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
Second
2500
#12
17.90.9
13.814.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 6.3
3407
#34
11.60.2
9.79.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Third
2513
#27
9.71.4
5.77.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 3.1
2225
#54
6.50.2
7.98.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed