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Red44
591319.6
312210.0
217521.8
Blue87
466324.6
392625.2
249129.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4074020601001201401604487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#18
21.80.1
16.416.6
Auto10.2
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 7.4
2491
#14
29.21.6
26.027.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Second
5913
#19
19.60.1
13.713.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 5.6
25.21.6
19.120.7
Auto11.2
Teleop11.8
End2.2
Third
3122
#49
10.00.2
9.810.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 14.6
24.61.6
17.819.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned