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Qual 382024 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red72
345419.4
223915.8
543423.2
Blue24
469310.4
257414.9
26067.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314102060801001207224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#21
23.24.8
12.1→16.8
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 8.3
2574
#42
14.91.2
16.1→14.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Second
3454
#22
19.44.8
8.9→13.7
Auto9.8
Teleop7.0
End2.6
red by 9.0
4693
#55
10.41.2
9.9→8.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Third
2239
#15
15.82.9
7.9→10.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End3.3
red by 8.1
2606
#53
7.71.9
9.7→7.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed