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Red12
216915.9
91575.1
304212.0
Blue62
301818.5
253029.2
427714.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31540204060801001201262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#20
15.91.3
15.314.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 13.3
29.20.6
25.325.9
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Second
3042
#44
12.01.3
12.411.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 6.5
3018
#29
18.51.0
10.811.8
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Third
9157
#61
5.12.1
3.31.2
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End0.4
blue by 9.4
4277
#24
14.61.0
10.111.1
Auto7.7
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned