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Red16
369110.0
300713.4
52788.7
Blue71
422515.1
282329.8
302614.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27520204060801001201671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3007
#45
13.41.3
10.79.4
Auto6.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
blue by 16.4
29.81.5
24.425.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
3691
#50
10.01.3
8.16.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End3.2
blue by 5.1
4225
#32
15.12.5
8.511.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
5278
#41
8.70.8
8.67.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 5.4
3026
#47
14.01.5
10.912.3
Auto2.4
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed