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Red58
52788.7
282329.8
216915.9
Blue49
205230.6
25116.4
340711.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5445020801001201405849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.3
25.926.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End1.6
blue by 0.7
30.60.5
26.426.9
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
Second
2169
#20
15.90.4
14.014.3
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 4.3
3407
#34
11.60.8
9.910.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Third
5278
#41
8.70.3
7.88.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
red by 2.3
2511
#60
6.40.8
5.46.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed