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Red19
91575.1
287911.0
369110.0
Blue97
388320.6
706822.0
247029.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15700204060801001997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2879
#39
11.00.1
11.911.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End1.5
blue by 18.3
2470
#10
29.22.7
23.826.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Second
3691
#50
10.00.1
6.86.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End3.2
blue by 11.9
7068
#25
22.03.0
17.220.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Third
9157
#61
5.10.1
1.21.1
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End0.4
blue by 15.5
3883
#36
20.62.7
16.118.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned