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Red55
245014.0
466324.6
302614.0
Blue25
301818.5
469310.4
78507.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54290204060801001205525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.6
19.420.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End2.8
red by 6.0
3018
#29
18.50.4
11.811.4
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Second
3026
#47
14.00.6
12.312.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.9
End1.8
red by 3.6
4693
#55
10.40.3
8.78.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Third
2450
#23
14.00.6
14.515.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End0.8
red by 6.4
7850
#52
7.60.4
8.48.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed