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Red47
363029.3
216915.9
32027.5
Blue32
52788.7
251810.1
217710.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602802040801004732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.5
28.427.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End0.6
red by 18.8
2177
#51
10.50.2
10.210.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Second
2169
#20
15.90.5
14.313.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 5.8
2518
#46
10.10.3
10.510.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Third
3202
#56
7.50.9
7.46.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End0.1
blue by 1.1
5278
#41
8.70.2
8.28.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed