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Red32
91575.1
421514.6
82349.3
Blue67
282329.8
466414.7
340711.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2357040801003267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4215
#38
14.60.8
15.916.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 15.2
29.80.9
26.327.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
8234
#59
9.30.8
8.18.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 5.4
4664
#31
14.71.6
10.812.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Third
9157
#61
5.10.8
1.11.9
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End0.4
blue by 6.4
3407
#34
11.61.6
10.712.3
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed