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Red67
250819.9
250221.5
599614.2
Blue50
388320.6
253029.2
257414.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5469204060801001206750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.1
20.121.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
blue by 7.7
29.20.7
27.226.5
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Second
19.91.1
18.319.5
Auto9.5
Teleop9.1
End1.3
blue by 0.7
3883
#36
20.60.7
18.718.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Third
5996
#43
14.21.8
12.013.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 0.7
2574
#42
14.90.7
14.914.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed