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Red56
26067.7
466414.7
285520.9
Blue43
217710.5
340711.6
301818.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404020253035455055605643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2855
#13
20.91.3
17.518.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
red by 2.3
3018
#29
18.50.4
13.113.5
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Second
4664
#31
14.72.2
12.414.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
red by 3.1
3407
#34
11.60.4
12.312.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Third
2606
#53
7.72.2
6.78.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 2.8
2177
#51
10.50.2
10.410.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed