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Red39
82349.3
369110.0
363029.3
Blue60
591319.6
310016.0
345419.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5052204060801003960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.4
27.927.4
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End0.6
red by 9.7
5913
#19
19.60.9
14.315.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Second
3691
#50
10.00.7
8.47.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End3.2
blue by 9.4
3454
#22
19.41.5
16.017.5
Auto9.8
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Third
8234
#59
9.30.7
8.88.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 6.7
3100
#28
16.00.9
16.517.4
Auto9.3
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned