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Red68
392625.2
361014.1
427714.6
Blue69
247029.2
205230.6
25139.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48660204060801001206869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.0
22.023.0
Auto11.2
Teleop11.8
End2.2
blue by 5.3
30.60.6
25.325.9
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
Second
4277
#24
14.61.7
11.913.6
Auto7.7
Teleop5.1
End1.8
blue by 14.7
2470
#10
29.20.6
25.826.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Third
3610
#26
14.11.7
11.513.2
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End0.6
red by 4.4
2513
#27
9.71.1
6.57.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed