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Red60
419815.7
250017.9
701914.8
Blue47
46326.0
302614.0
388320.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801006047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2500
#12
17.90.7
15.616.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
blue by 2.7
3883
#36
20.60.8
18.018.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Second
4198
#48
15.70.7
16.116.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End1.5
red by 1.6
3026
#47
14.00.8
12.313.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Third
7019
#37
14.81.2
12.513.7
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End1.3
red by 8.8
4632
#62
6.01.4
4.05.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed