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Red75
345419.4
205230.6
388320.6
Blue46
302614.0
214320.4
466414.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724701001507546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.8
25.926.8
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
red by 10.2
2143
#11
20.40.1
17.417.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Second
3883
#36
20.60.8
18.919.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7
red by 5.9
4664
#31
14.70.1
14.614.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Third
3454
#22
19.41.3
17.518.8
Auto9.8
Teleop7.0
End2.6
red by 5.4
3026
#47
14.00.1
13.213.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed