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Red71
701914.8
301818.5
282329.8
Blue26
599614.2
22256.5
361014.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653402040801001201407126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.7
28.028.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 15.6
5996
#43
14.20.9
13.812.9
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Second
3018
#29
18.51.1
13.514.6
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0
red by 4.4
3610
#26
14.10.9
13.212.4
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End0.6
Third
7019
#37
14.81.1
13.714.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End1.3
red by 8.3
2225
#54
6.50.9
7.46.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed