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Red46
78507.6
91575.1
392625.2
Blue35
24989.9
32027.5
37519.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362902060801004635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.9
23.024.0
Auto11.2
Teleop11.8
End2.2
red by 15.3
2498
#58
9.90.1
9.29.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Second
7850
#52
7.61.5
6.47.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.4
blue by 1.6
3751
#33
9.20.1
9.39.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Third
9157
#61
5.11.5
2.54.0
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End0.4
blue by 2.4
3202
#56
7.50.1
8.58.6
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed