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Red83
361014.1
543423.2
205230.6
Blue58
599614.2
220723.3
369110.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704602060801001201408358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.2
26.828.0
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
red by 7.2
2207
#17
23.31.3
22.523.8
Auto11.2
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Second
5434
#21
23.21.7
20.922.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 9.0
5996
#43
14.21.3
12.914.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Third
3610
#26
14.11.7
12.414.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End0.6
red by 4.1
3691
#50
10.01.3
8.710.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed