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Red52
302614.0
420719.2
25139.7
Blue55
282329.8
37519.2
310016.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4164020801001205255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4207
#40
19.21.2
18.019.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 10.6
29.80.1
28.728.6
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
3026
#47
14.00.8
13.214.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 1.9
3100
#28
16.00.1
16.716.5
Auto9.3
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Third
2513
#27
9.71.2
8.59.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 0.4
3751
#33
9.20.2
9.49.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed