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Red76
26067.7
250017.9
253029.2
Blue43
78507.6
247223.2
52716.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5840020801001207643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.7
25.926.6
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
red by 6.0
2472
#16
23.20.1
23.723.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Second
2500
#12
17.90.7
17.518.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 10.3
7850
#52
7.60.2
7.87.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Third
2606
#53
7.71.1
6.67.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.3
red by 1.3
5271
#57
6.40.1
6.56.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed