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Red78
249129.2
217521.8
469310.4
Blue54
216915.9
388320.6
284619.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655901001502002503007854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#14
29.21.3
28.429.8
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 8.6
3883
#36
20.60.0
19.719.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Second
2175
#18
21.81.3
20.321.7
Auto10.2
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 1.9
19.80.0
19.619.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Third
4693
#55
10.41.3
9.110.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 5.5
2169
#20
15.90.0
15.015.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed