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Red59
340711.6
245014.0
250221.5
Blue25
312210.0
419815.7
32027.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801005925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.3
22.422.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
red by 5.8
4198
#48
15.70.7
16.415.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Second
2450
#23
14.00.3
14.414.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End0.8
red by 4.1
3122
#49
10.01.1
11.010.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Third
3407
#34
11.60.5
12.111.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
red by 4.1
3202
#56
7.51.1
8.67.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed