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Red112
253029.2
301818.5
205230.6
Blue79
247223.2
250017.9
220723.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797120406010012014011279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.6
28.028.6
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
red by 7.2
2207
#17
23.30.3
23.823.5
Auto11.2
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Second
29.20.6
26.627.2
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
red by 6.0
2472
#16
23.20.3
23.623.3
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
3018
#29
18.50.8
16.317.1
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0
red by 0.7
2500
#12
17.90.3
18.218.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4