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Red76
22277.4
308215.7
614736.8
Blue18
78504.4
5541-0.1
266712.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781102040601001201401607618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.2
34.034.2
Auto12.5
Teleop17.4
End6.8
red by 24.0
2667
#17
12.80.0
15.415.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Second
3082
#16
15.70.2
18.518.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End1.0
red by 11.3
7850
#20
4.40.0
4.74.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.4
End1.4
Third
2227
#31
7.40.2
10.310.5
Auto6.0
Teleop0.8
End0.6
red by 7.5
5541
#19
-0.10.0
-2.2-2.2
Auto-1.7
Teleop1.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed