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Red39
453618.7
320617.0
604515.3
Blue45
87874.4
253124.1
212929.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637002040801001201401603945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#18
18.71.3
21.320.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 10.5
2129
#12
29.21.5
32.130.6
Auto10.6
Teleop16.8
End1.8
Second
3206
#15
17.01.4
16.915.5
Auto9.1
Teleop5.9
End2.0
blue by 7.1
24.11.5
23.622.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Third
6045
#30
15.31.3
19.818.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 10.9
8787
#22
4.41.7
6.95.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed